Is It Safe to Be Optimistic Again?
10/08/2010
Personally, I’m an optimist by default. Life’s just a little better that way, looking on the bright side and all. But this is not always a winning strategy. Sometimes it pays to be a pessimist, a realist in business terms, I suppose. Especially of late in the finance area, when there was no use sugar-coating the abysmal truth.
But could this be changing? Could optimism be creeping back in? CFO.com recently asked if cash was peaking, noting that there are hints some of the enormous cash reserves financial execs are keeping under the mattress may be coming out:
“On average, US finance executives in the Duke/CFO survey plan to increase capital spending by 6.6%, dividends by 4.7%, and technology outlays by 4.1% compared with the previous 12 months, although there were wide firm-specific variations in the numbers.”1
This is encouraging, but not to say it’s all unicorns and rainbows. There are certainly plenty of people who will tell you that this recession is far from over … like most Americans. In fact, according to a new Gallup poll, 82% of those surveyed2 said they still believe the US to be in a recession. A year ago, 84% said the same thing2—hardly much of that half-empty glass getting filled. In fact, fewer people today than a year ago believe that we’ll recover in a year.
An important distinction to draw here is business vs. individual. A finance executive making the decision to loosen the purse strings in the office may be the same individual who puts off a new car purchase for another two years. But both are looking for improvements in the overall economy and more stability before really letting loose—as are all of us.
Is your company loosening the purse strings? Or are you still keeping your cash reserves under the mattress until there are sure signs of economic improvement? Share your outlook by leaving a comment to this post.
1Vincent Ryan,"Is Cash Peaking?," CFO.com, September 30, 2010.
2"New Gallup Poll Reveals The Extent of Pessimism Towards The Economy", DaveManuel.com, September 26, 2010.